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cliff, tax hikes and spending cuts set to take effect next year. if lawmakers don't reach a deal to avoid it, consumers could see higher taxes eating into their paychecks. even online sales suffered. compared to past years of double-digit growth, this year, online holiday sales rose only about 8%, compared to nearly 16% last year. overall, holiday spending accounts for up to 30% of retailers' annual sales, so the disappointing season is a concern for an economy struggling to recover. >> consumers need to have more confidence. consumers need to feel that their jobs are secure. it's not an ideal situation. it's more of a conservative, cautious time. and companies are managing carefully, consumers are spending carefully. >> reporter: retailers are now hoping to lure consumers with deep discounts of 75% to 80% off in some cases as they try to salvage profits from this lackluster holiday shopping season. jim. >> axelrod: so, elaine, this is the first set of holiday shopping numbers that we've seen. any chance that they'll be revised as we get more data in? >> reporter: absolutely. the
of the so-called fiscal cliff, a series of tax hikes and spending cuts set to take effect in five days. >> there still seems to be no signs of a compromise acting congress and president obama. >> president obama return to washington to get the credit shortage of medication. is a video the president leaving. >> house and senate members are expected to reconvene today as well. >> without a budget agreement, automatic tax increase is for everyone in the spending cuts will be triggered in the new year. >> the main dispute continues to be over taxes. >>, of the kron 4 morning news changes are coming to a netflix starting next year. how the company wants to get users more connected socially and next. >> the web more attractive weather and headlines when we come back >> wexcome backed. >> time is 4:10. >> net flicks is adding more social features to it streaming media service in the u.s.. >> the company confirms that the congress passed a bill that drops restrictions on sharing user's video rental history. these revisions now with president obama signature before becoming law. >> lifting the
in the fiscal cliff if the tax increases and spending cuts come into effect would be bad for the economy and would really hurt housing demand. even if the fiscal cliff is solved, less damaging ways to resolve the fiscal cliff, the housing market still might be affected if the mortgage interest deduction is cut back severely. right now the mortgage interest deduction cost the government roughly $100 billion per year in revenue and getting rid of that would likely increase home values particularly in more expensive areas. gerri: rehear it would put the brakes on selling and home buying in those areas. what are the issues for you? you know all the issues and housing, what are you looking for next year? >> three things have been really important, the first is the inventories of homes for sale are down sharply. that is great news for home sellers because there is less competition. bad news for buyers. demand is also up, rising rent, rising prices, both of those will get urgency. the growth hasn't been great but it has been enough to get people off the fence, people feel more secure so demand
class feels they can have the spending and not pay for it themselves. going over the fiscal cliff, at least, we are all sharing in the responsibility for paying for the big government we seem to want. >> and a lot of disappointment by boehner's bill not being able to be passed in the house. we will see what happens in the next few days before 2013 hits us and probably hits us hard. thank you so much for being with us. >> my pleasure, kimberly, nice to see you. >> straight ahead, tornadoes in the south and belied starred warnings from the midwest to the northeast. it is stopping holiday travelers in their tracks. the latest on the storm's path next. >> this is a fox news weather alert. tornadoes, snow, ice and gusty winds. a deadly winter storm making it's way across the country. dozens of tornadoes touching down on the gulf coast states. more than 30 twisters reported from texas to alabama. a giant funnel cloud in mobile, alabama was caught on camera. fallen trees blamed for several deaths in the golf region and knocking out power to thousands. tonight the same storm bringing heav
, with five days left until the fiscal cliff of tax hikes and spending cuts. the house planned to reconvene on sunday evening. a christmas season storm rolled through the northeast and new england, as the death toll climbed to 16. and lisa jackson announced she's stepping down as administrator of the environmental protection agency. and online, we've got a unique year-in-review of sorts. kwame holman has more. >> holman: science correspondent miles o'brien has had a most interesting 2012. he's crawled in sewage, cuddled with dolphins and played guinea pig to lots of experiments. watch some of the best outtakes of miles' science stories on the rundown. and we round up the most important lessons we've learned about helping kids stay in school from our series, american graduate. all that and more is on our web site newshour.pbs.org. margaret? >> warner: and that's the "newshour" for tonight. i'm margaret warner. >> brown: and i'm jeffrey brown. we'll see you online and again here tomorrow evening with mark shields and david brooks among others. thank you and good night. >> major funding for th
.c. to avoid the looming fiscal cliff. with five days until major spending cuts kick in and taxes go up on everybody, the white house says president obama made separate phone calls to the senate leaders, harry reid, and john boehner. that was last night before the president took air force one from hawaii to washington. molly is live for us at the white house. update us on the next move from the obama administration. >> despite the phone calls that the president made before he left hawaii, he spoke to top democrats and republicans and no negotiation meetings have been set. at least not formally or public limit there's nothing set yet between all the sides to discuss this. the president's back in washington after he cut short vacation to get back to the white house for possible last minute fiscal cliff talks leaving his wife and daughters in hawaii. the vice president is scheduled to be here today for meetings. don't forget the obama administration and congress have the debt ceiling hanging over them. the u.s. set to hit the borrowing limit of over $16 trillion by the end of the year. the
sales was uncertainty about the fiscal cliff, tax hikes and spending cuts set to take effect next year. if lawmakers don't reach a deal to avoid it consumers could see higher taxes eating into their paychecks. even online sales suffered compared to past years of double-digit growth this year online holiday sales rose only about 8% compared to nearly 16% last year. lack of consumer confidence means this shopping season could be the weakest since the recession in 2008 when sales actually shrank. >> consumers need to have more confidence. right now it's more of an uncertain way for the first half of 2013 so i think everyone has thought going into the year. >> for businesses, the holiday shopping season officially ends december 31st, and retailers are hoping to salvage some profits by offering deep discounts until then. the president of the national retail federation is still optimistic. he estimates holiday sales growth will be about 3.5% to 4% this year. rebecca and jeff? >> thanks elaine. it's interesting, macy's and target report next week so we're going to hea
. his holiday vacation so he could deal with the looming fiscal cliff. all eyes are on that now and everyone wondering whether congress will be able to reach a deal by january 1st. if not, spending cuts and tax hikes for every american will go into effect and we're watching that story very, very closely. as i mentioned, just five days left before the new year. but wait, before they bring out the champagne and confetti on the 31st, folks in washington need to start making big decisions regarding that fiscal cliff. here's what will happen if no deal is reached. the economy could fall into a recession. that's been widely reported. the congressional budget office forecasts a drop of .5% in the real gross domestic product and a 9.1% unemployment rate by the end of next year. markets in the u.s. and around the world could take a hit. right now the dow is down almost 100 points. no santa clauz rally this year. managing director of the boston consulting group joins me from chicago. great to see you. happy holidays. let's talk about the effect on the economy. i think it's important to po
schools. right now they have very little leverage onra this debate over e fiscal cliff because that stuff happens automatically, but the idea of a debt ceiling increasef they told obama more than once if you want a trillion dollars, you will need that eight times in the next decade they will have to cut spending a trillion have to cut spending a trillion eric: i'm a republican, congressman, senator tax pledge to not raise taxes. teo if somebody approaches me and says here is a bill that says if youhi sign this we will cut taxn for 98%, how can you say no to that? my point is this. the administration is winning the war of optics. if they played it this way, do they not win? >> they won the war of optics so far because everything has beene done. done inside closed walls.nd f if c-span, fox are able to videotape the negotiations, the kind of thing we're learning now about obama that i have no interest in cutting spending, just want tax increases. he has been lying about his negotiating position. k if people knew that, there is serious unhappiness on his lack of seriousness with cutting spend
is the fiscal cliff? the fiscal cliff is the check. it's the tab after the buffet of all that spending. so the irony is everyone in the beltway thinks it's so terrible we are going over the fiscal cliff because it's so irresponsible. well, ironically it's the opposite. the whole point of the fiscal cliff is when the fiscal cliff is cleared and we jump over it, we are getting rid of all the accounting game mix, the temporary stings of things that allow congress to pretend it's being fiscally responsible when it's not. what's going to happen? a lot of taxes will go up but taxes will go up on everybody, not injure the guy around the tree that's paying for everything but everyone will have to pay. and then folks will realize the government we are voting for costs us money too. >> that's the thing. if we don't go over the cliff and they don't reach a compromise, what will happen? they can't afford to keep spending like this. won't spending have to go down by virtue after compromise not being reached? spending will go down a little bit because of the sequester and 9 defense spending, what you ta
the fiscal cliff. swan dive over it. this is a spending trajectory and bury the economy if we go. i'm buying. >> andrea: there is not a deal sequestions ration. >> bob: first, everything you pass you retroactively do back to january 1. which they will do. not massive cut in spending right away. they won't allow people making less than $750,000 not have taxes. they won't allow fica to go back up. [over stalk ] >> bob: now you the debt ceiling. >> andrea: i want to get in here. you talk about the debt ceiling. i thought it was raised in february. isn't it suspect that all of a sudden turbo tax timmy puts out a letter saying with i'll hit the debt ceiling? if we go off the cliff, guess what that means? more revenue. credit rating agencies only care about revenue. we are likely to be just fine if we go off the cliff. >> bob: you said in the opening here. of course it's a game being played here. of course it is set up by obama. the republicans are in a big hole. >> greg: the only game more boring is soccer. >> kimberly: it's not. >> eric: nothing is more boring than soccer. >> eric: the debt ceil
, the spending cuts known as the fiscal cliff, but we are four days away from another financial challenge. that is the debt ceiling. now, compared to reaching your limit on your credit card essentially, treasury secretary timothy geithner said the u.s. is going to reach its borrowing limit on monday. he says, quote, i am writing to inform you that the statutory debt limit will be reached on december 31st, 2012, and to notify you that the treasury department will shortly begin taking certain extraordinary measures authorized by law to temporarily postpone the date that the united states would otherwise default on its legal obligations. there is wiggle room. that is equivalent to two months of borrowing. >>> now to the other financial crisis that could mean higher taxes for all of us. will congress send the country over the fiscal cliff or will they come up with some sort of deal and hit the brakes? the senate returned today hopefully to come up with some kind of deal. dana bash is flling this on capitol hill. i imagine we're all working over the holidays and i fess we're going to be workin
be cutting spending. whatever deal we get out of all this fiscal cliff madness at the end of the day, is going to be on their terms because of the sequestration they forced from the debt ceiling threat which was irresponsible. the idea in the times today made you think these guys are out of the picture, they have some scuffling at the top. >> what do you make of the article itself? coming at it? do you think they are trying to gin up some kind of -- that is the people who are more interested in seeing this article put forth, they're trying to say the tea party is declining when it's not? >> i think it reflects that shift and the fact that you got more people and more money going into this thing. that's that grass tops part you spoke to. this happens in washington a lot. everyone wants their group to sound as powerful as possible. you wrote the book on hip-hop, with your blessing, i'd like to quote some lines tonight. i'm reminded the blessing's not all the way there. for the audience at home, i'm getting a skeptical look. would you rather be underpaid or overrated? must people would
fixed by lawmakers and like everything else notice fiscal cliff, it can be done retroactively. the harshest effects of spending cuts could be modified in the first month or two of 2013. in fact, the defense department, the irs and other government agencies are planning no immediate changes because they're anticipating some kind of deal. that leaves the unemployed, extended unemployment insurance will expire immediately if we go over the cliff. a deal later in january could theoretically restore extended benefits, the immediate damage will have already been done. for many people, this is all an interesting charade. but for the unemployed it's the real deal. get your cell phones out, i want to know what you think. tonight's question, who will the public blame if we go over the fiscal cliff? text a for democrats, text b for republicans to 622329. i'll bring you the results later in the show. >>> joining me now is congressman elijah cummings of maryland. welcome to the show. >> it's good to be with you. >> what do you make of the latest posturing. the house will they reconvene bef
to have a debate over bigger issues than the fiscal cliff on taxes and spending. why we can't come together in the short-term for something that could hurt us in our short-term pocketbooks, it's delaying a bigger conversation that's going to have to be had. >> that's what congress does. >> i want one name. who is the savior who is going to swoop in and convince everybody to do their jobs? roland? >> jesus. you need jesus to come down and blow like lazarus and blow breath into these dead, lifeless bodies. >> if you think i'm beginning to follow jesus with steve louisiana tor ret, you're crazy. >> sorry, baby. can't top jesus. >> thank you so much. we'll be right back. [ nyquil bottle ] you know i relieve coughs, sneezing, fevers... [ tylenol bottle ] me too! and nasal co [ tissue box ] he said nasal congestion. yeah...i heard him. [ female announcer ] tylenol® cold multi-symptom nighttime relieves nasal congestion. nyquil® cold and flu doesn't. >>> more good economic news this morning when can tcomes to new home sales. they are up for the month of november and the best in two year
cliff" -- a series of tax hikes and spending cuts set to take effect in six days. and there still seems to be no signs of compromise between congress president obama is cutting his holiday vacation in hawaii short. and will return to washington tomorrow. house and senate members are expected to reconvene tomorrow as well. without a budget agreement, automatic tax increases for everyone and deep spending cuts will be triggered in the new year. the main dispute continues to be over taxes. >> in national news. dallas cowboys nose tackle josh brent has been formally indicted on a charge of intoxication manslaughter. for the crash that killed a teammate. brent was arrested earlier this month after police say he flipped his car while speeding though a neighborhood in suburban dallas. brent survived the crash. but his friend and teammate. practice squad member jerry brown. died at a hospital. intoxication manslaughter carries a maximum sentence of 20 years in prison. no court dates have been set. >> right now parts of the country are dealing with the aftermath of a severe storm system that is
where the weather is just as frigid as the political climate inside. fiscal cliff talks appear to be going nowhere. the president is trying to hammer out a deal before major tax hikes and spending cuts kick in january 1st. this morning harry reid launched a scathing attack on house republicans for not returning to washington. >> i can't imagine their con chens they are out wherever -- consciences they are out wherever they are and we are trying get something done. >> newly appointed senator flew back with the president today, left governor currently will replace the late senator daniel inouye. >>> that looming fiscal cliff is having a huge effect on the stock market today. you can see the dow is down 135 points over 1%, consumer confidence very low because of concerns that fiscal cliff will cause taxes to rise for everyone if congress tpaeults to work to the. >>> former president george higgs boson bush remains in intensive care he is -- george h.w. bush remains in intensive. doctors suspected he would be home in time for christmas but his condition worsened, he is alert and ta
as the political climate inside. fiscal cliff talks appear to be going nowhere. the president is trying to hammer out a deal before major tax hikes and spending cuts kick in january 1st. this morning harry reid launched a scathing attack on house republicans for not returning to washington. >> i can't imagine their con chens they are out wherever -- consciences they are out wherever they are and we are trying get something done. >> newly appointed senator flew back with the president today, left governor currently will replace the late senator daniel inouye. >>> that looming fiscal cliff is having a huge effect on the stock market today. you can see the dow is down 135 points over 1%, consumer confidence very low because of concerns that fiscal cliff will cause taxes to rise for everyone if congress tpaeults to work to the. >>> former president george higgs boson bush remains in intensive care he is -- george h.w. bush remains in intensive. doctors suspected he would be home in time for christmas but his condition worsened, he is alert and talking to hospital staff. >>> there is a bright spot for
the "fiscal cliff." they have less than five days to come to agreement before tax hikes and spending cuts kick in. senate majority leader harry reid has a plan to let tax cuts expire for households making more than $250,000 a year along with short-term spending cuts instead of the long-term cuts that would happen if there is nodule. >> the american people are waiting for the ball to drop but it's not going to be a good drop because americans' taxes are approaching the wrong direction. >> reporter: negotiations between president obama and house republican leaders stalled last week. the house is now leaving it up to the democratic-controlled senate to solve the problem before the new year deadline. in addition to the "fiscal cliff," treasury secretary timothy geithner warned congress that the u.s. is close to hitting its debt limit of $16.4 trillion. geithner saved the government will take steps to allow more burrough after december 31. danielle nottingham, cbs news, washington. >>> let's look now at the markets. stocks fell sharply by 55 and change. the drop is attributed to consumer confidence
to another recession if president obama and congress fail to find a way to avoid the fiscal cliff of tax increases and spending cuts that will take effect january 1. the president is returning to washington this morning, cutting short his holiday vacation. however, with only five days before the fiscal cliff deadline, no new negotiations have been scheduled. and adding to the pressure, treasury secretary tim geithner says the country is on track to hit its borrowing limit on monday. >>> and former president george h.w. bush has been moved to the intensive care unit at a hospital in houston. he's in guarded condition because of a stubborn fever. mr. bush who is 88, has been hospitalized for more than a month now, trying to recover from bronchitis. >>> you think you pay a lot to park. not compared to folks in chicago. it's going to soon cost $6.50 per hour. that's like 10 cents a minute at a meter downtown. after the rate goes up 75 cents in the new year. >> in quarters? >> yes, quarters, you can also use a credit card. >> who carries $6.50 in quarters? >> you can use a credit card, you gu
spending pulse saying it actually not the fiscal cliff, it was superstorm sandy. >> right. adam: at the end. day are consumers pulling back? doesn't matter if it was the storm or fear they're pulling back, right. >> that was a real good point you made. mastercard said this these numbers were becoming a concern for the consumer back in october. the national retail federation had projected holiday sales would go up about 4.1%. adam: yep. >> that is some growth but it is nowhere near the 5.6% we saw lt year. there is a little bit of a slowdown. also we have to look at the consumer sentiment numbers. it is coming in at the month of december around 72 points. that is 10 points less than at its high in july. so we're definitely seeing that consumer slowdown happen even way before the fourth quarter. adam: you're with therf. you're with the national retail federation, are you not. >> no. i'm an independent analyst. adam: excuse me. a lot of people like the nrf but what are the repercussions whether for the nrf or anybody? nrf, they're sticking to it. they're not revising their predictions. shopper
from going over that fiscal cliff next week, which would send taxes soaring while slashing spending. >>> meanwhile, hollywood has something to celebrate as we close out 2012. it's been a very big year in the movies, with the number of tickets sold in the u.s. up for the first time in three years. the domestic box office take is set to hit a record $10.8 billion, with ticket sales up 5.6%. quite an accomplishment in the age of impressive home theaters. >>> meanwhile, when we come back, travelers weren't the only ones fed up with holiday deals. what an angry pilot had to say to his passengers about the matter. >>> also, proof that you do not have to be a kid to get excited over your christmas present. you really have to stay tuned for this. the family behind this viral video is sharing their joy. how do you do that? well, inside the brewer, there's this train that's powerful enough to carry more coffee and fresh water to make coffee that's stronger and bigger... and even hotter! actually, i just press this button. brew the coffee you love -- stronger, bigger, or hotter -- with the keu
the spending cuts. what happens if we go off the fiscal cliff for a few days. >> not much is my understanding. it's much more what the market psyche will do and with respect with the tax hikes and cuts, the hit people take is not as much as the rhetoric suggested early on. what weather it's enough to get back to negotiating things, i agree with you that we will go over the deadline. that's the big question of what kind of political ramifications we will have. you will have a chunk more on the payroll. there is a cut because of the sequestration. >> all of us are aware that most people at the top of fortune 500 companies look at these claims saying this is ridiculous. you couldn't run any business the way they try to run the country. is there any immediate impact on the markets next week with their inability to get anything done? >> yes. that's the biggest impact by far. yes, the payroll tax will take effect and that will be one of the most immediate things we see, but it takes two weeks to adjust your paychecks and spend more time repairing and restoring and trying to solve that. the market d
issues is critical. the edge of the so-called fiscal cliff is really in view now. the home county of house speaker john boehner butler county, ohio, currently under a blizzard warning. house republican leaders holding a conference call earlier today on the fiscal cliff, but so far they have not yet called on lawmakers to return to capitol hill. but they have said they will give a 48 hour warning if they plan to do that the white house saying the president is cutting his holiday vacation in hawaii short to return to d.c. to work on a deal to try to stop those automatic tax hikes and deep spending cuts from kicking in on january 1st. and if they don't reach a deal before then, many economists say we will dip back into a recession. i had henly house republican leaders didn't have a lot of new information for their lawmakers. they would have 48 hour notice if they are needed to pray back to washington from various districts around the country. that tells us they are being noncommittal at this point because they frankly do not know whether or not there will be a deal to avert the fisca
. >> talk about the new year. we've talked about the fiscal cliff. obviously how the crisis plays out is going to be a key theme. what are your favorite positions? >> i think we can see a degree of confidence in things with the markets moving again. east asia remains a key area. companies with a focus on that area will be the ones to look out for. >> one of the key things which people keep focusing upon is the possibility for the equity markets to rally, in part because money comes out of fixed income. that could be quite a major trend in 2013. do you think that's realistic? >> i think it is realistic. i think we've seen a lot of risk on-risk off in the last two years. i think stock picking could return in 2013 been it's an absent from markets for too long now. i think it's time to invest, be more discerning and trying to find companies with reasonable term brands. diaji is one of those companies despite the hit it's taken in the last few days. >> chris beach yumm, market analyst at ig group, thank you very much. >> thank you. >>> take a quick look at some live pictures here we're get
increases and spending cuts threaten to send our committee over the so- called "fiscal cliff." today the president heads back to washington to try to strike a deal with lawmakers. congressional leaders are urging the senate to consider a bill that is already passed in the house that would extend existing tax cuts. >> meantime, the us treasury department says it will start taking steps to prevent the government from hitting the $16.4 trillion debt limit. >> new evidence the job market is improving. over the past month, the number of people seeking first-time unemployment benefits dropped to the lowest level since 2008. the labor department says weekly applications fell 12,000 to a seasonally adjusted 350,000. but experts warn the christmas holiday may have disrupted the figures. >>> and chicago wins the dubious award of having the nation's most expensive metered parking. starting new year's day park meters in downtown chicago will cost $6.50 an hour. that's up from $5.75. the city leased the meters to a private company for 75 years for the bargain price of more than $1 billion. back t
. >> spending cutting, about what kind role government should have in your life. >> number 1. the fiscal cliff. lawmakers saw it coming but didn't bother to pay attention until after the election. had they put politics aside and dealt with it earlier who knows how strong the economy would be right now. >> coming up, a five-days for a woman. she gets the news she has been waiting to hear on her missing teen daughter. >>> and we are taking a look back at the year. the most outstanding student athletes of the year. >>> those and more coming up at six. now a preview of world news at 6:30. >> coming up, american companies saying thank you. thank you america for make this a great made in america christmas. . >>> you have heard of downward facing dog? even if you haven't chances are your children have. we have more on the latest craze for children. yoga. >> reporter: some say yoga is the fattest growing sport in the nation with 20 million practicing regularly. the latest trend is an ever growing number are pint sized. >> there are classes for kids of all ages from baby up to teens. there are even
of this fiscal cliff craziness? >> we've seen slow down in capital spending. we've seen a slowdown in hiring. we've already seen to certain extent some of the effects of the cliff. i don't think we'll go into recession, adam. i think we'll experience continued period of subpar economic growth. but a lot of indicators i'm looking at tell me continued, moderate growth, not a recession in the next six to 12 months. adam: steve hays, if we're not going into recession as jeffrey predicts why not go of the cliff? why not have the immediate austerity? tax increases are detrimental but wouldn't bring about recession according to jeffrey? >> i think there is certainly a difference of opinion among economists on that. the cbo projected that we would in fact go into recession. others said the same thing. in fact the president of the united states in an exchange he had with paul ryan back in 2010 said the last thing you want to do when the economy is struggling to sort of gain ground is to raise taxes and he said to cut spending. i don't agree with him necessarily on the spending although i would have done
-atlantic, the result of hurricane sandy. nationwide, spending stalled in december with worries about the looming fiscal cliff and the tragedy in connecticut. >> we never got the christmas spirit back going running again. there were just so many distractions that were being thrown at the consumer. >> reporter: there were some bright spots. home furnishings, women's clothing and jewelry. many shoppers said the season of giving continues. >> i like giving, even to myself. >> that was john yang reporting. >>> as always, let us know why you're awake. send an e-mail to wayt waytooearly@msnbc.com and we'll read the best responses later in the show. no obscene responses. not going to read any of those. still ahead on "way too early," tim tebow is having a rough exit interview in new york, lashing out on critics who say he quit on the team after getting passed over for the third-stringer in sunday's game. that's next in sports. >>> plus, a massive aquarium bursts at a mall in china, mixing sharks with helpless shoppers. sounds like a place i was at over the weekend. we'll bring you that story and get an update
a red eye trip to washington. with the fiscal cliff deadline less than a week away. what it all means for your paycheck. >> reporter: as the president wrapped up his vacation, federal workers trickled back into the nation's capitol. but the only people who can avert the fiscal cliff, members of the house and senate, have not returned. in just six days, a 2% payroll tax is set to expire, along with the bush-era tax cuts, shrinking the average person's paycheck in 2013 by about $1500. long-term unemployment benefits for about two million jobless americans are also set to expire. and 110 billion worth of spending cuts to both domestic and defense programs will start to kick in, forcing layoffs in the public sector and for some private sector government contractors. economists predict that if congress doesn't act, all those cuts and new taxes will push the economy back into a mild recession by mid 2013. the impact of some of these new cuts and taxes wouldn't be felt immediately on january 1. that's because the irs and other agencies didn't expect it to come to this. so it could be a few w
. >> the country is inching closer to falling off the so-called " fiscal cliff " a series of tax hikes and spending cuts set to take effective 5 days. if this is a live look out of washington d.c.. house and senate members are rica meeting today. without a budget agreement, automatic tax increase is for everyone and deep spending cuts will be triggered in the new year. >> former president george h. a w. bush is in intensive care at a houston hospital this morning. mr. bush has been hospitalized there since last month with what is being described as a " stubborn fever ". a spokesman for his office said that the 88 year-old is on an all-liquid diet and has been in i c u since sunday. >> cleanup is underway in mobile, alabama this morning after its second tornado in a week. work crews cleared trees and a hard-head neighborhood yesterday were homes and businesses were damaged. a target with wind speeds up to 135 mi. per hour hit the city on christmas day. so far there have been no reports of serious injuries in mobile. >> parts of upstate new york are seeing a heavy snowfall. the national weather servi
. >>> consumer confidence has fallen because people are so worried about that fiscal cliff. the index has hit the lowest level since august. the concern is over tax increases and government spending cuts set to take effect january 1st if the white house and congress can't reach a deal. >> toyota is forecasting sales of nearly ten million vehicles next year and it's expected to reclaim the title of world's largest automaker. the company is on pace to sell 9.7 million this year which would put it ahead of gm. it would also be up 22% from last year when it was unable to meet demand arch its factories and suppliers were hurt by the quake, tsunami and natural disasters. >>> and toyota will reportedly play $1.1 billion to settle lawsuits over car that accelerated unexpectedly. toyota recalled 14 million vehicles around the world. the settlement still needs a judge's approval and toyota faces lawsuits over injuries and deaths the problem. >>> wells fargo doesn't have to pay $203 million to customers after a united states appeals court overturned a decision. the first ruling was ordered at the san f
to admit, it's the fiscal cliff, the debt clock stuff. i don't blame them. >> reporter: yeah. people think the general public is oblivious and not paying attention. they want to blow off the fact people are bored about hearing about the fiscal cliff but the reality is that 98% of americans will be affected and will see taxes go up if we go over the cliff at the end of the year. this consumer confidence number is an indication of what economist have been warning if we go over the cliff and enter into a new recession in 2013. that consumer confidence number down 6 points to just over 65. you know as well as i do this is a big change in the overall trend we had been seeing of improving consumer confidence. so as we near the fiscal cliff and near the end of the year, folks are buckling up, didn't spend as much as christmastime and we depend on the spending for economic growth. it's the engine of economic growth and all fingers point to another recession. >> eric: yesterday we got indication the retail sales for christmas were bad. today we get consumer sales. what's next? >> well basically we'
increases and spending cuts that are due to take effect next week. no official fiscal cliff negotiations between republicans and democrats have been scheduled. not a great deal of progress. >>> with the government right on the edge now of that fiscal cliff, taxpayers are facing a lot of uncertainty as we head into the new year and for many of us the usual year-end financial strategies simply may not apply this year. 7 on your side's michael finney sorts out some of the confusion. >> reporter: when it comes to year end finances the old rules may not add up this year. >> it is difficult to do any type of tax planning and advising because nobody really knows exactly what is going to happen. >> much of the uncertainty centers around whether the united states is about to fall off that a fiscal cliff. if that happens, that would mean the end of the temporary payroll tax cuts. even if that doesn't happen, most believe taxes will go up next year. >> one of the things that is being floated right now is people are advising people to get out of dividend paying funds, high dividend yield funds and m
in connecticut, sandy, fiscal cliff, everything. with that in mind where do you see consumer spending, consumer discretionary spending next year? >> i think in 2013 there's always a place that excels in consumer discretionary and it's based on product, price and where they can expand in terms of channel extension. in 2013 i think we'll see names like nordstrom where they are accelerating the rate of growth. i think we'll see urban outfitters continue their turnaround, perhaps in an accelerated pace in 2013, and i think you're going to continue to see, particularly in the first half of the year, the demand for products from michael kors do well. second half of the year is a different story and perhaps the turnaround of tiffany's to be the name for the second half. >> meantime, r.j., i think you would agree retail remembers scrambling right now because consumer confidence is plunging. three reports in a row that have been pretty dismal. >> yeah, i would agree. i think we're looking for a bit of a pullback in 2013, not only due to the fiscal cliff issues that will become more aware, especially whe
that's actually passed anything to deal with the taxes, to deal with the spending side. fiscal cliff, they've passed bills and right now, no matter what the public blame may be, the fact of the matter is that the senate is next in line, and president obama is the president of the united states, expected to lead on this and to provide some ideas for it. stuart: i think you would agree with me that so far, it's the republicans who have taken the heat, and john boehner's plan b, a disastrous piece of publicity, got that. do you think that the tide is turning at all and that the jonbenet has been gettinof and . >> and not seeing any leadership for the president and not seeing any for the senate and not seen the budget. i think that the frustration is across th board and it should be felt by all. >> okay, you're sitting there in washington and you tell me now, do you think we get a deal on new year's eve? >> gosh, i certainly hope so. >> do you think we will? >> do you think we will? >> i don't think that this washington, anyone in washington is reckless enough for the country off the cli
morning. >> good morning, duarte. yes. hopes for legislation to avoid the fiscal cliff now turns to the senate, but white house and republicans remain far apart. senators and staffers will be filling these empty hallways today trying to work out a deal to avoid the fiscal cliff. higher taxes will give the average american about $1,500 less to spend next year, and economists believe the $110 billion spending cuts will result in more layoffs. senator harry reid has a plan to keep taxes low for everyone making less than $250,000 a year as well as short-term spending cuts until a bigger deal can be reached. >> it is going to be a patch because in four days we can't solve everything. >> while senators try to brave the bad weather in many parts of the country in order to make it back here to washington, house leaders say they will not leave home unless the senate passes its bill first. house republicans scuttled a proposal from speaker john boehner last week, and 48% of americans say they are to blame if no deal is reached. >> both sides here have a problem with the american people, an
, it's the fiscal cliff, it's what taxes are going to be, it's what spending is going to be, people feel uncertain and when they feel uncertain they pull back. that's a natural reaction, whether they're investors or consumers. >> thank you for your time tonight. >> you're welcome. >>> as crises go, you hope for the best and you prepare for the worst, right? since the former is starting to not look so likely, the preparing for the worst options are beginning to ramp up double time. the emergency fail breakers next. >>> is there a new gun regulation you could support? >> i'll tell you what would work right now. tomorrow morning, the nra would be there every step of the way. every u.s. attorney. violent felon, violent criminal, take them off the street. look, if ever -- >> there's no new gun regulation you would support. >> this is what would work. if every -- >> i'm asking you a direct question. is there any new gun regulation you would be willing to support? >> i'm giving you the answer. >> you're saying we should prosecute more criminals. >> he did not go on to answer the question d
people. the fiscal cliff is going to impact our business who knows how much we can spend to increase our business and expansion may not be possible. the customers are so uncertain as to how they're going to spend their money that eating out may be considered a luxury. this is not a partisan issue. this is an american issue. the american people have been on a roller coaster for the past four years. it's time for them to get on stable ground. they have carb steady, with carbs that digest slowly to help minimize blood sugar spikes. [ male announcer ] glucerna hunger smart. a smart way to help manage hunger and diabetes. you won't take our future. aids affects us all. even babies. chevron is working to stop mother-to-child transmission. our employees and their families are part of the fight. and we're winning. at chevron nigeria, we haven't had a reported case in 12 years. aids is strong. aids is strong. but we are stronger. and aids... ♪ aids is going to lose. aids is going to lose. ♪ we don't let frequent heartburn come between us and what we love. so if you're one of them people who g
not going to go off the fiscal cliff or if we do go off the fiscal cliff it will be a small package of some tax increases, some spending cuts, but it's not going to put the economy into a recession. so what i've been telling clients is let's just hold the line right here. let's not sell precipitously. let's wait until we see the outcome. but right now i think there's a real good chance that the outcome could be positive or will muddle our way through this significant problem. >> ifill: let me ask you a question which politicians kept bringing up during this last election which is the that the uncertainty is what makes people nervous in the business world. is this the kind of uncertainty they were talking about? >> it absolutely is. you mentioned before the retail sales numbers for this christmas season and the retail sales numbers for this christmas season were very poor, very soft. this is both individuals and individuals affecting companies making decisions and it's really largely driven by their significant uncertainty about what's going to be their tax rate in 2013. they're really postp
to pass at least a scaled down measure to avoid going over the fiscal cliff. now unless both sides can agree on anything close to $1 trillion in spending cuts and tax increases will go into effect beginning new year's day. from there megan some are projecting the country compound find itself in -- could find itself in another recession. >>> even starbucks is getting into the fight over the fiscal cliff. the coffee company's ceo wants the workers in the d.c. area stores to write come together on the coffee cups they serve today and tomorrow. he says it's the company's way of respectfully telling politicians they need to find common ground. >> the people would get in the room and leave their ego behind, and not be so skewed to the party but be so sensitive to the lens of the american people we will have an agreement. >> this is just a suggestion from the ceo. he says that baristas won't be forced to write anything but a customer's name on the cup. charlie with your nonfat triple skim extra hot latte -- you might have a little political message. >> they write megan on that coup. i ordered
the fiscal cliff deadline just in the nick of time. if not, the consequences will be severe. more than a half trillion dollars in automatic tax hikes and spending cuts, not that lawmakers are necessarily feeling the urgency. congress is at least officially in session today but house members, most still at home haven't even been called back to the capitol. aides on both sides including republican leaders haven't spoken in days. >> washington remains in the same fiscal cliff clitalks. >> reporter: senator leader harry reid and john boehner are both frosty saying it's in the other guy's court saying to avert the largest tax hike in history and reid saying it's time for house republicans to put middle class families first. >> if we go past no deal, the markets are likely to decline in a significant way and involve most americans and they don't want to have themselves blamed for that. >> reporter: already stocks have dropped three days in a row over fiscal cliff fears. from wall street to main street, it is building. >> both parties to are to blame if they don't come up with something. >> we are r
one is avoiding the fiscal cliff. >> unless the president obama and congress can reach a deal by the new year, tax increases and spending cuts will take deep effect. >> president obama's re-election was one of the biggest political stories of the year. >> with the first of our year enders, here's abc's karen travers. >> reporter: president obama had to overcome a well funded opponent, struggling economy and voter doubts that he had the right agenda to turn the nation around. and after a roller coaster season, he got them. mitt romney may have started off at the front runner, but to win the republican nomination, he had to fend off some feisty challengers. >> he's the worst republican in the country to put up against president obama. >> reporter: and overcome some self-inflicted wounds. after 50 primary contests, romney clenched the nomination and it was on to the general election. >> it will be a choice between -- >> two very different paths. >> reporter: their battle focused on the economy. >> we can't afford another four years like the last four years. >> we need more tax cu
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